What you believe is only valuable when you know why you believe it.
How objective do your thinking axioms need to be before you can form an arguable opinion?
You must assign meaning to information to make better decisions.
Doing less of what you don’t know how to do is smarter
Evaluating future benefits is a tricky proposition.
Covid factors provide a way to think about data analysis.
Even if you are very skilled, being right is difficult.
People who can create inflation do. Those who cannot inflate lose.
Fooling yourself is easy. Correcting is hard.
Providing a margin of safety forces you to think through your future in a productive way