Tag: knowledge

Are You Smart Enough To Know The Future?


Ronald Gerald Wayne is a smart guy.  He understands life and the range of its possible outcomes.  If you don’t know who he is, you can be forgiven.  A carefully crafted survey of all the people who work within 25 feet of my office… Continue Reading “Are You Smart Enough To Know The Future?”

Conflict Resolution


Much of life is resolving differences between yourself and “the others” For this purpose “others” include family, friends, employees, co-workers, partners, bankers, customers and more. How do we do it? I recently watched a bright young professor from MIT, Rebecca Saxe, deal with this… Continue Reading “Conflict Resolution”

On Keeping Up


Future Shock Happened a Long Time Ago. Setting the amount of human knowledge as one unit in the year 1, we find two units by about 1500, 4 units by about 1750 and 8 by about 1900. The progress accelerates sharply around here. 16… Continue Reading “On Keeping Up”

The Dog That Did Not Bark


Something that did not happen can provide information. Sir Arthur Conan Doyle created Sherlock Holmes in the late 1800’s. Many of his case-breaking observations have value in other contexts. In “Silver Blaze” we see the meaning of the dog that did not bark. Many… Continue Reading “The Dog That Did Not Bark”

What You Don’t Know Will Hurt You


Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge. – Charles Darwin. In the Art of War, Chinese military theorist and general, Sun Tzu claims that if you know yourself and know the enemy, you win every battle. If you know yourself and not the… Continue Reading “What You Don’t Know Will Hurt You”

Complicate Your Investments. Here’s How.


You can make investing complicated and not very successful . You can do it with an ignore list and a focus list. Ignore Volatility Liquidity Income taxes Transaction costs Time Leverage effects Focus On Rate of return Relative rate of return Publicity regarding your… Continue Reading “Complicate Your Investments. Here’s How.”

Fuzzy Logic


We don’t always know the thought processes that underlie our intuition. The very real risk is that if those thought processes are limited, so are we. Our world is non-linear. That does not mean it is curved, that means that the connections are not… Continue Reading “Fuzzy Logic”

Global Warming And The Balance of Nature


Have you heard of the Oregon Petition? 31,478 prominent scientists have petitioned the US government to reject any policy related to concerns over global warming. Over 9,000 of them hold a PhD in their field. Truly persuasive! Not so much. Consider that 2,169 of… Continue Reading “Global Warming And The Balance of Nature”

The Rebirth Of The Innocence


For years, I have told my children, partly tongue in cheek, that if I was humble I would be perfect.  I think I can see the next step. We attended the christening of Egan, our newest grandchild, on Sunday.  It is easy to be… Continue Reading “The Rebirth Of The Innocence”

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